According to a survey conducted by CEOP for Página 12 newspaper, the current Minister of Economy and the head of the Cabinet of Ministers would obtain 23.1 percent of support in these elections, slated for August 13.

In second place comes presidential ticket of Javier Milei and Victoria Villarruel, of the ultra-right-wing La Libertad Avanza, with 19.1 points, and in third place Patricia Bullrich and Luis Petri, of the coalition Juntos por el Cambio (JxC), with 16.3 points.

In fourth position would be Horacio Rodríguez and Gerardo Morales, also from JxC, with 14 percent.

According to the analysis, if the ballots of all the candidates for each organization were added, JxC would lead the intention of votes (30.3), followed by UP (28.5 after adding 5.4 percent of Juan Grabois and Paula Abal).

However, Página 12 political analyst Raul Kollmann warns that “the difference is very narrow and it is a controversy whether the votes of Bullrich and Rodríguez can be added. Both are fighting a fierce internal dispute, with the former Minister of Security winning by very little against the head of the Buenos Aires Government. Technical tie, would be the diagnosis of any pollster”.

A fundamental fact is that almost one out of every five citizens could choose not to go to the polls, vote blank or do not know who they will be supporting. Whether a part of these undecided citizens will vote for one side or the other will make a lot of difference, he added.

For the director of CEOP, Roberto Bacman, one of the issues that will define the election is the economy and whether a beneficial agreement with the International Monetary Fund is reached.

A segment of moderate independents who have not yet decided what they will do remains to be defined. They are undecided and at the same time represent an opportunity for Massa who should not move away from the Cristinista hard core (due to Vice President Cristina Fernández, still a strong political figure with lots of support), Bacman pointed out.

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