By Fausto Triana
Chief correspondent in Spain
However, it is an electoral limbo of very complex resolution. It seems impossible that the general winner of the elections, the conservative Popular Party (PP), manages to form a government and, within remote possibilities, the left assumes it with the socialist leadership of the PSOE at a cost of unpredictable consequences.
Parliamentarians consulted by Prensa Latina, on condition that their names not be revealed, opined that the formula of the Spanish Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) with the Sumar movement, the Basques EH Bildu and PNV, the Galician BNG and the Catalan ERC, and the decisive Junts by Carles Puigdemont, is extremely fickle.
“Together for Catalonia has a crucial role. On the one hand, agreeing with the left without obtaining anything significant (independence referendum), would taste little to his followers; on the other hand, leaving everything open would be implicitly allying with a right that has never wanted to negotiate with them”, they analyzed.
On August 17, the new Cortes Generales (Chamber of Deputies and Senate) will be formed and from there, King Felipe VI will call all the elected groups for consultations, to then decide who will give the opportunity to launch the search for investiture. government with parliamentary consent.
In the scrutiny of the votes from abroad, in the absence of official confirmation, the PSOE lost one seat to the 122 that were awarded to it on July 23, for which the PP increased its lead by one more deputy until reaching the 137.
MAGIC POTIONS
The book of the acting President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, from Manual of resistence, became fashionable again in Spain, where even some of his enemies recognize the PSOE leader as having a remarkable capacity for political maneuver.
Instead, his main opponent, the head of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, faces internal difficulties to ensure that all his troops follow him into the fold without signs of rebellion.
Impatience made the ascendant president of the Community of Madrid, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, once again project an image of being presidential in the face of the resistance of Feijóo, a political veteran who won four electoral periods in Galicia.
However, Díaz Ayuso has the support of the most conservative wing of the PP, such as Esperanza Aguirre, who propels her to the top, while another heavyweight, the head of Andalusia, Juanma Moreno, shows his balance for the moment.
Sánchez, in any case, has taken it easy. He is on vacation in the Canary Islands and a priori will not show his letters until the second half of August.
As the search for magic potions is a chimera, behind the scenes it is assumed that both the PSOE with Sumar, and the PP perhaps alone or more probably with its natural ally, the far-right Vox, are in secret negotiations to give a coup d’état at the beginning of the Cortes Generales on August 17.
STORMY HORIZONS
The sources consulted by Prensa Latina envision a long road full of obstacles, which in the best of cases would lead to a final resolution towards the fall of the inauguration attempt of Núñez Feijóo. The left is not worried, nor will Sánchez oppose King Felipe VI, because he is convinced that he will fail.
In such a scenario, the option of the left to form a “Frankenstein-type” Executive as repeated in Spain, and with the consent of the separatist Puigdemont, would be a tremendous problem.
It would be a government with a short-term forecast, although the call for new elections (next December or January) is a double-edged sword for small parties whose results hang by a thread, said the experts who spoke with Prensa Latina.
ef/arb/ft
